Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-28 1129.497030 1274.294096 1432.563677 1618.723268 1832.103656 2069.513276 2354.322235
2026-01-04 910.685412 1107.663660 1341.608363 1641.355216 2017.228178 2475.579448 3080.819229
2026-01-11 781.792228 1000.655287 1275.762778 1649.796952 2149.427660 2799.914196 3720.870107
2026-01-18 690.608455 920.640211 1223.238123 1654.916592 2262.196641 3096.908590 4349.907898
2026-01-25 633.291458 874.525450 1204.674916 1695.988187 2419.643681 3463.819709 5116.554136
2026-02-01 584.400228 832.410244 1183.902632 1727.020919 2560.622710 3817.483330 5905.608611
2026-02-08 540.395709 791.350641 1158.342310 1745.010856 2679.864539 4147.386640 6697.397205
2026-02-15 503.417312 756.138852 1136.513174 1763.990627 2799.405872 4487.442744 7547.856758
2026-02-22 475.137613 730.879061 1126.393302 1798.592199 2945.402358 4884.271110 8547.148490
2026-03-01 433.821443 681.078700 1072.488012 1755.051993 2953.737336 5045.711825 9143.684747
2026-03-08 394.935861 631.655000 1014.439453 1697.909926 2930.648140 5146.366370 9636.153880
2026-03-15 360.648908 586.872836 960.016657 1641.176275 2901.003785 5229.432011 10102.232142
2026-03-22 349.189413 579.894242 969.436773 1699.417040 3090.547229 5748.955251 11532.983626
2026-03-29 332.812260 563.131451 960.507406 1723.487069 3218.630340 6166.691298 12821.064486
2026-04-05 315.655549 543.483597 944.560058 1732.398059 3317.375691 6536.714746 14062.897697
2026-04-12 299.571583 524.393274 927.841526 1737.802889 3408.974330 6902.130963 15351.984274
2026-04-19 289.979540 516.304169 930.552888 1781.165923 3582.909354 7463.573990 17194.139405
2026-04-26 279.703464 506.076580 928.245358 1813.934175 3737.691444 8002.319464 19074.219190
2026-05-03 268.516689 493.228199 919.752721 1832.931821 3864.289575 8493.100136 20919.190277
2026-05-10 258.265662 481.385487 912.196415 1852.976018 3995.156471 9010.401577 22927.023458
2026-05-17 250.484827 473.776670 912.394317 1889.521434 4167.707699 9650.375052 25389.059229
2026-05-24 234.815668 449.341911 876.546250 1843.535925 4141.253205 9795.054842 26477.547588
2026-05-31 218.951940 423.473402 835.893400 1783.195034 4073.851819 9827.346147 27244.207511